Texas vs. Baylor: Prediction, pick, spread, football game odds, live stream, watch online, TV channel

Two in-state rivals battle it out as Texas hosts Baylor in Austin, Texas on Black Friday in the regular season finale for both programs. The Longhorns are fresh off an emphatic 55-14 win over Kansas and snapped their first winning record under Steve Sarkisian. Running back Bijan Robinson dominated with 243 rushing yards and four touchdowns to move up to No. 6 nationally in rushing yards.

Baylor was seconds – literally – away from beating rival no. 4 TCUs in Week 12. However, the Frogs kicked a fire drill field goal as time expired to shock the Bears in Waco. Running back Craig Williams rushed for 112 yards in the win while receiver Monaray Baldwin burst for 123 yards. However, the Bears allowed a 12-yard run on a third-and-1 that could have frozen the game. The loss dropped Baylor to 6-5 with four losses by a total of 21 points.

The matchup between these two teams dates back to 1901 with Texas leading 79-28-4. The Longhorns have won five of their last seven matchups, but Baylor has won two of their last three, including a 31-24 decision in Waco, Texas last season. Baylor running back Abram Smith rushed for 145 yards and a touchdown to nullify two Gerry Bohanon interceptions in the loss. Robinson was held to just 43 yards.

Texas vs. Baylor: Need to Know

Running for kilometres: Baylor and Texas are among the most dynamic racing teams in the country, but they take different strategies to get there. Longhorns running back Bijan Robinson is an All-American and will be a first-round pick in the 2023 NFL Draft. Robinson has rushed for 100 yards in seven of Texas’ eight games, including 200-yard performances in two of his last three games. Baylor doesn’t have a dominant rusher, but Richard Reese, Craig Williams, and Qualan Jones each went over 400 rushing yards and four touchdowns with Reese capping a 1,000-yard season.

Inconsistent Quarterbacks: Five-star transfer Quinn Ewers was one of the highest scoring quarterbacks in ratings history and the first perfect 1,0000 quarterback recruit since Vince Young. However, Ewers was a hindrance in the second half of the season and hasn’t completed more than 60% of his passes since October 15. Similarly, Baylor quarterback Blake Shapen was inconsistent in his first year as a starter. Shapen averaged more than 300 passing yards per game in his first three Big 12 games, but has only one touchdown on four interceptions in his last four. Both of these defenses have been susceptible to the pass.

Big 12 implications: Texas is still technically alive in the Big 12 Championship Game race approaching the final weekend of the season. The Longhorns have to thread a needle by beating Baylor on Friday as they hope Kansas beats Kansas State in the Sunflower Showdown. It’s still an outside case, but a trip to the Big 12 title game in Year 2 of the Sarkisian era would be a significant step for Texas. The Longhorns have not played for a Big 12 championship since 2018 or won a conference title since 2009.

How to watch Texas vs. Baylor live

Date: Friday 25 November | Time: Noon ET
Position: Darrell K. Royal Memorial Stadium — Austin, Texas
TV: ESPN | Live broadcast: fuboTV (try for free)

Texas vs Baylor Prediction, Picks

Featured game | Texas Longhorns versus Baylor Bears

Las Vegas oddsmakers have overrated Texas all year despite a four-loss season, and that trend continues into the season finale. The Longhorns have only beaten one team by more than 8.5 points since the Red River Showdown: Kansas. Baylor is more than prepared to take on the Texas jocks, even playing on the road in Austin. Prediction: Baylor +8.5

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